Reducing Carbon: the Simple Math

  • *ACTUALLY, I MADE A MISTAKE. I assumed The Glasgow Forest & Lands Declaration’s carbon reduction estimates were separate from “Smarter Crops & Meat” — aka, converting the world to Regenerative Agriculture. As Drs. Chazdon and Lawrence advised, and I just fathomed, “we don’t know what overlap might exist between Glasgow and Regenerative Ag” — because the world’s currently degenerative agricultural systems (as in life-destroying), are the #1 driver of deforestation emissions.
  • OK, GOOD. We’ll take Glasgow all the way out, then. And from there we have total clarity: converting the world to a Regenerative Agricultural system, alone — which is a profitable, food-commodity-and-jobs generating foundational element of everything important to us — doing that alone, would stop us from entering into catastrophic climate change. Forget Mars. Mission: Earth.
  • Here’s a quick fix to this essay. The other pieces will be updated appropriately. Among the exceptionally positive aspects of this clarification, is the reality that prioritizing conversion to a globally-Regenerative Agricultural Economics would open the way for additional regenerative and stewardship economics and integrations worldwide.

Saving the Climate: this Decade

Last week I posted an article on recent research, re: how much Carbon Dioxide equivalents (CO2e) could be avoided and absorbed from the atmosphere this decade and century if we: a) fully achieve the COP26 Glasgow Leaders Declaration on Forests and Land Use, b) make some cost-effective changes to the way we manage crops and meats, and c) protect and restore Earth’s most bio-rich land ecosystems.

Saving the Climate: this Century

In addition to the two studies above I reference two scenarios shown in Strassburg, et al, 2020. This study highlights the gargantuan greenhouse reductions and low costs that can come from saving and restoring Earth’s most biodiversity-rich habitats.

Taken from Global Priority Areas for Ecosystem Restoration (Strassburg, et al, 2020) and using their rates of CO2e absorption for “first 66 years” of natural regrowth.

Summing Up

These 10 strategies could get us out of the global warming catastrophe by 2030 (-37 GtCO2e of -28 needed):

  • Stopping deforestation in 137 countries
  • Starting forest, peatland, and wetland restoration on 711 million acres of degraded ecosystems
  • Improving cattle feed
  • Improving rice cultivation
  • Improving soil carbon sequestration
  • Improving biochar carbon sequestration
  • Reducing food waste
  • Reducing agricultural waste
  • Reducing beef consumption
  • Improving nutrient and manure management
  • Protecting and restoring the habitats of +70% of the most endangered species on Earth.

Thanks for reading.

Scientific Citations

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